Choose a race:

For most of its history, Nebraska has been a strongly Republican state, with a Partisan Voting Index of R+14, a Republican Governor, 2 Republican Senators and all 3 Members of Congress are Republican. The last time Nebraska voted for a Democrat for President was 1964. In 2008, the state split its electoral votes for the first time: Republican John McCain won the popular vote in Nebraska as a whole and two of its three congressional districts; the second district, which includes the city of Omaha, went for Democrat Barack Obama. Trump won the state’s five electoral votes in 2016.

Despite the current Republican domination of Nebraska politics, the state has a long tradition of electing centrist members of both parties to state and federal office. Voters have tilted to the right in recent years. The Nebraska legislature is unique among U.S. states in that it is officially unicameral and nonpartisan.

We are tracking one congressional race in Nebraska because our data indicate that with investment in Democratic voter turnout, the district could flip from red to blue.